vaccine

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COVID-19 and YOU


In late June, my wife and I took a long trip which started in a Boston suburb and took us to the National Parks in Montana and Wyoming. Ohio was pretty much shut down which made it tough for us to find a place to get breakfast but was not unexpected. Our next stop was in Wisconsin, Eau Claire, where we found the degree to which people were taking this virus seriously was far less than what we believed proper. The hotel employees followed a strict face mask plus social distancing manner of business. But outside of the hotel, we saw many people who simply were not wearing any mask. And by the time we reached North Dakota, no one was wearing a mask and this continued into Montana, Idaho and Wyoming. A waitress in a restaurant told us she believed it was just media hype and not real. Another person told me he thought is was just a Democrat ploy. I do hope the people in these states have changed their attitudes but I have my doubts.

One of the more ridiculous things certain people are saying is that requiring people to wear a mask somehow infringes on their rights. I have no idea what right they believe is being undermined but they could not be more wrong.

The last reality check is that of a vaccine. People are thinking that either Johnson & Johnson or another company is going to come up with a vaccine. Dr. Faucci addressed this very issue quite well in the early goings. He said that if this vaccine is to be an effective one, it is almost a guarantee that the first one out of the box will be a failure. The general public needs to come to terms with the idea that medicine is a very inexact science and that a lot of guess-work goes on. Additionally, this virus has already mutated once that scientists know of. This means if the researchers are developing a vaccine with the original strain, will it be fully effective on the mutated strain. No one knows but everyone hopes it will. But here is one last reality check for everyone. Both AIDS and Ebola are viruses that have been around for at least 40 years and neither has a vaccine. Ebola, by the way, is a cousin to the COVID-19 virus. We need to think in terms of partially effective vaccines with many efforts over a period of years before researches find the right one.

And testing for this disease needs to be fully explained. If, for example, you get tested and the results come back negative is not a guarantee that one day later you might become a carrier because of contact with an asymptomatic person. The test is only good for that moment in time. The virus does not sit around and think, “well, that guy just got tested so we cannot infect him for 72 hours.” The CDC has made it extremely clear from the very beginning that the best measures a person can take is to observe social distancing and always wear a mask when in public. There is more that we do not know about this disease than what we do know.

And now we have people who are saying that all children should be allowed to go to school in person because they are not carriers. Again, another falsehood being propagated by I do not know who. Children are fast becoming carriers and, worse, are contracting this deadly disease.

That said, the question become, what will the school year look like. As someone who has worked in the public school systems for over 11 years now, I can tell you that school districts have been given the nearly impossible task of coming up with a plan to open up the schools. In the school district in which I work, and without knowing classroom dimensions, and knowing class sizes range from 20 to 26 students, I cannot imagine more than 9 students in any one classroom if proper social distancing is to be maintained. If you were to walk around any school, you would find that the size of classrooms vary which is yet another problem.

In kindergarten and the 1st grade, a good part of the child’s learning is socializing, reading and knowing their numbers and time. Now imagine you have a group of 5, 6 and 7-year-olds and you are giving them recess. Your instruction to them is that they must maintain a 6-foot distance between them and other children. Will this work? Highly unlikely. Children of this age have a natural desire to play in a manner that brings them into contact with others. And if you do maintain that 6-foot distancing, how much real socializing can these young people actually experience?

The unfortunate reality here is that schools must remove recess from a child’s day if they are to properly protect each child. The concept of socialization will need to be re-imagined and put in practice.

Another issue is that of teachers. Many are expressing fear about re-entering the classroom. This fear is well-founded. It is impossible to know who is a carrier.

Parents are going to have to come to terms with the idea that schools systems are very likely to remain closed for the month of September for two reasons. First is that they will not have a plan plus a teacher’s consensus by the first of September. And second, the disease is likely to flare up in the early fall and quite possibly to levels far greater than those we saw in the springtime.

The bottom line is very simple. This is a health issue alone but one of enormous import and consequences. It is every individual’s responsibility to act as if they are carriers and everyone around them is a carrier. That means, wear a face mask, social distance, and wash your hands frequently. To do otherwise is the risk the health of those people who are doing their best to avoid the disease. The only rights being violated are those of people who find themselves around people who refuse to follow these simple steps because they feel violated. They need to get over that falsehood for everyone’s sake.

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We are Forever Changed — COVID-19 Just Started It All


The reason it is called “COVID-19” is that the 19 refers to the year in which is was discovered and that would be 2019. I believe it was in November. The Chinese discovered it. And everyone wants to lay blame of some sort at their feet but the Chinese scientists were at that time grappling with what they had discovered. People need to remember that just because science discovers something does not mean they immediately and fully understand exactly what they have discovered. To the contrary, most scientific discovered take decades to fully explain and sometime longer, much longer.

No one knew this would become the pandemic is has. No one knew and most still grapple with what the immediate and long term effects of this disease are and will be. The best immunologists and epidemiologists are working very hard to get the arms around this virus but to get it right they need time. It is almost a shame that Dr. Fauci informed us that it would take at least 18 months to get a vaccine for this disease. He has told us that such would be the case if everything went right and we got it on the first try. He has also said that it is unlikely those things will happen. But no one seems to be hearing what he is saying. I am not in the medical field but I remember from the one microbiology course I took in college that the professor told how a virus is the most difficult of all maladies to remedy because of the way it exists.

Let’s take AIDS as an example of the above difficulties. We first new of AIDS is the early 1980s. It is a virus. Problematic to it is that it mutates hence the finest minds have yet to create a vaccine 40 years later! What does this have to do with COVID-19? Two things, first, COVID-19 is a virus that the Chinese believe has already mutated as they are having new outbreaks of this disease. Second, the best way to prevent the spread is through personal protection. My personal experience in traveling from Boston to Montana, Wyoming and Idaho is that people in these states are not taking this virus seriously and are not wearing masks. That will change.

I fear we will suffer with this disease for the next 2 years which will cause states to close down again, hospitals to become overwhelmed and more people dying. This may well be one of our new realities for some time to come. I hope I am wrong.

COVID-19 has already forever changed the way businesses will run. Those business who had never done work from home have been forced into it and have discovered it to be a very effective way to do business. Businesses have been forced to change the way they do business or die. And I read this morning where it is expected that 1/4 of all small business will not reopen. I expect business schools will be changing their curriculum to accommodate the new business models that will inevitably come out of this pandemic.

Additionally, the way we look at response to health crises has already changed and will change more. We simply were not prepared for this pandemic in large part because our belief systems had not allowed for such an occurrence.

We have a new phrase in our language, “social distancing.” Will this be temporary or long-lasting, possibly a new standard?

Amid the Pandemic and new ways of doing business came the policeman who murdered a black man by asphyxiation. First it forced police forces around the country to reconsider apprehension techniques. Then another black man was killed just because three white men thought he was a wanted man when in truth he was just out for a jog, something he had done regularly for a long time and finally there was the policeman who shot and killed a black man in the back because he was resisting arrest.

I knew America was still ways to racist for my liking, but to the extent it has suddenly reared its ugly head was surprising. These events caused demonstrations against racism across America. When it was discovered in the black community that some of them were taking advantage of the situation to cause property damage and looting, black leaders took it upon themselves to call out these thugs and remind both them and America that the protests are to be peaceful. In a number of demonstrations it was police mishandling of the protests that cause them to turn violent. But maybe, just maybe, out this will come a more widespread intolerance for all forms of racism. We can only hope.